Stat Projections (Offense) at the 3 Quarter Mark (and at end of season)

[Truck_1_0_1_]

(I know we are technically PAST the 3rd quarter mark)

Just thought I'd break down where we're at and, "where we'll end up," with just some rough numbers; these aren't projections based on other factors, just if the current numbers per game continue:

O:

Burrow: 284/413 (68.8%), 3,483 yds, 25 TD, 14 INT 100.6 rating
Projected: 371/540, 4,554 yds, 33 TD, 17 INT

Mixon: 245/1,036 (4.2 YPA), 12 TD, 28/33, 202 yds (7.2 YPC), 2 TD
Projected: 320/1,355, 17 TD, 37/43, 264 yds, 3 TD

Perine: 50/212 (4.2 YPA), 1 TD, 22/26, 167 yds (7.6 YPC), 1 TD
Projected: 67/283, 1 TD, 26/30, 223 yds, 1 TD

Chase: 60/98 (61.2%), 1035 yds (17.3 YPC), 10 TD
Projected: 78/128, 1353 yds, 13 TD

Higgins: 57/89 (64%), 812 yds (14.2 YPC), 4 TD
Projected: 78/121, 1,107 yds, 6 TD

Boyd: 55/77 (71.4%), 611 yds (11.1 YPC), 2 TD
Projected: 72/101, 799 yds, 3 TD

Ceej: 37/46 (80.4%), 407 yds (11 YPC), 5 TD
Projected: 48/60, 532 yds, 7 TD

*bonus* ST:

Evan: 21/25 (84%) FG, 37/39 (94.9%) XP
Projected: 28/33 FG, 48/51 XP

Burrow would own every record, save for:

- INTs (Boomer, Ken and Kitna had 22)
- YPA (Cook, 9.4)
- Rating (Andy had 106.2 in 2015)
- Completions (Carsone had 373 in 2007)
- Attempts (both Andy and Carsone had 586)

Aside from rookie records (Chase, Evan) and rushing TDs (Mixon), no one else would be close to any other team record.

Let's smash the numbers!

[Nicomo Cosca]

Burrow needs 34 TD’s to break Dalton’s record. 33 would only tie.

Also, there’s one more that could fall; Hendrickson needs 1.5 sacks to break Dunlap’s “official” team record of 13.5.

[Truck_1_0_1_]

(12-14-2021, 12:29 PM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: Burrow needs 34 TD’s to break Dalton’s record. 33 would only tie.

Also, there’s one more that could fall; Hendrickson needs 1.5 sacks to break Dunlap’s “official” team record of 13.5.

Correct, but they would, "share," ownership

And yes, was going to do defense, but that's a bit more-involved, especially with some injuries now...

[Nicomo Cosca]

(12-14-2021, 12:32 PM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: Correct, but they would, "share," ownership

And yes, was going to do defense, but that's a bit more-involved, especially with some injuries now...

Ah, I just saw you had offense in the thread title. I no read so good.

[Truck_1_0_1_]

Just a quick bump before the true end of season stats, Higgins may surpass projections, but it is interesting to see the numbers now and compared to his season last year:

Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD 1D Lng R/G Y/G Ctch% Y/Tgt Rush Yds TD 1D Lng Y/A Y/G A/G
2020 21 CIN WR 85 16 14 108 67 908 13.6 6 52 67 4.2 56.8 62.0% 8.4 5 28 0 1 13 5.6 1.8 0.3
2021 22 CIN WR 85 14 14 110 74 1091 14.7 6 53 54 5.3 77.9 67.3% 9.9

And here are the snaps:

Year Age Tm Pos No. G GS Off. Snaps Def. Snaps ST Snaps
2020 21 CIN WR 85 16 14 805 75% 0 0% 0 0%
2021 22 CIN WR 85 14 14 710 76% 0 0% 0 0%

Thus, as one can see, he's had 95 less snaps, yet 2 more targets and he has surpassed almost all of his numbers from last year.

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/H/HiggTe00.htm

Great improvement from Higgins. Will update with final year numbers, to see how far off projection they were.