(02-06-2019, 05:59 PM)Au165 Wrote: As stated above, to believe a combination of the injured players don't equate to even 1 win is what would be ignorant. If you take Vegas's approach to assigning wins, a starting QB is usually worth .5 to 1 win by himself. Most other players aren't worth a half a point but as a sum of all the parts you can EASILY attribute a single win greater to the total with the injured players back if all you did was add back in the QB. 

As to the range, that was my whole point. No one knows what they will be but to say the best possible outcome is equal to this year is....well see above.  Throwing out how you think they will do is an opinion and a fair one at that, placing a "ceiling" equal to this years win total is where the ignorance is because the injuries do play into a projection of success. It may seem like semantics but there is actually some game theory behind this.

(02-06-2019, 06:43 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: Yeah, the odds are we will get more than 6 wins this year with the injured players coming back and the new coaches. The Defense WILL be better, cannot be any worse. The Offense should be better under an offensive minded coach etc.

How much more than 6 wins is the question.

(02-06-2019, 07:21 PM)Socal Bengals fan Wrote: Once again the defense was pretty much healthy last year and on offense we only lost Dalton n Green. Yes we will have Dalton n Green back but unfortunately we have no idea who we will lose to injury this year. My guess is anywhere from 5 to 9 wins this year.

(02-06-2019, 07:21 PM)Socal Bengals fan Wrote: Once again the defense was pretty much healthy last year 

(02-06-2019, 07:21 PM)Socal Bengals fan Wrote:  on offense we only lost Dalton n Green.   

(02-06-2019, 03:17 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: Well if we get all of that we should win atleast half our games...

(02-06-2019, 08:48 AM)Big Boss Wrote: I'll set the floor at 8-8.  We see some improvement but it's still early on.

(02-06-2019, 09:25 AM)Sled21 Wrote: The 2019 Bengals are going to roll through the NFL like sailors that just got paid roll through a brothel. AFC Championship game at least..... remember, you heard it here first!!!!

(02-07-2019, 06:02 AM)JWW1971 Wrote: Well here goes, I see us winning 10 and taking the North Title.
The FO are all in with Zac and for once I see us making big moves in FA.
With us being sweeped by the Browns and a very mediocre Steelers I don't think Mike Brown will be happy to let that happen again.
With all our injured players back, FA & the Draft, I see us getting to the Championship game in Zac's first season

(02-06-2019, 10:24 PM)snowy Wrote: I think I'd call it good if Taylor could eliminate the Third Quarter of Death. Get 'em to play all four quarters, and they might see an improvement.

(02-08-2019, 12:04 AM)THE PISTONS Wrote: We need several upgrades in free agency and the draft before I'm willing to think playoffs.

(02-08-2019, 12:04 AM)THE PISTONS Wrote: We need several upgrades in free agency and the draft before I'm willing to think playoffs.

(02-08-2019, 01:41 AM)Essex Johnson Wrote: Well it happens much easier in our parity driven league to flip loses to wins and wins to loses year to year.  Here is a nice comparison

2017 to 2018 improvement in wins:  Browns 0 to 7, Colts 4 to 10, Texans 4 to 11, Bears 5 to 11

2017-2018 negative losses to wins    Panthers 11 to 7, Bills 9 to 6, Jags 10 to 5, Cards 8 to 3, Lions 9 to 6 and Falcons 10 to 7.

So there are 10 teams that either gained or lost 3 or more wins from one year to the next.  That is almost 30% of the teams.  

(02-08-2019, 01:48 AM)McC Wrote: You'll have your handful of teams that will always be at the top, a handful who languish at the bottom and then all the rest are up and down year after year, fighting for the other playoff spots.