07-10-2021, 10:42 PM
(07-10-2021, 09:47 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: 1.) Yes, I posted the entire decade of overs/unders. You must not have taken the time to appreciate the point I was trying to make, even though I did my best in trying explain it.
The overall point was that Vegas is very good at setting lines. Not only in the differential between their actual win total and the predicted win total, but also in the fact they hit the over 5 times and the under 5 times (an equal amount).
2.) The "realist" knows notto bet the Bengals period, at least not in sizeable amounts. Good or bad, you're better off finding a team you're impartial to then letting your letting emotion (positive or negative) cloud your judgement.
Fwiw, I've never placed on a bet for or against the Bengals. It ruins the experience for me. I even tend to avoid their players in fantasy football, unless they've dropped considerably. I think it's a good rule of thumb to keep the fan experience seperate from the betting experience. To each their own though...
I actually do not bet much. I do like betting on stuff that I follow but I understand about the emotions being in the way. I have thought about betting against the Bengals but then I would not enjoy the game.The odds were too much to pass on it. Everyone is very high on the Browns to make the SuperBowl. I have watched the Bengals/Browns game multiple times and feel like we are as good if not better than they are. Not a big Baker Mayfield fan and I think the Browns line will not perform as well as they did last year. Time will tell if I am right.
