08-26-2021, 03:42 PM
(08-26-2021, 02:48 PM)Rubekahn29 Wrote: Cool. I’m not talking about you. I’m talking about what has happened in the NFL. But thanks for that information.
Ok, let’s crunch some numbers if you see just as many vaccinated players test positive as unvaccinated players.
There are 2,080 players in the NFL including practice squad players. According to Washington Post yesterday, 92.7% of players are fully or partially vaccinated. Only four teams are below 90%. So let’s make it simple and estimate 90% are fully vaccinated.
That means 1,872 players are vaccinated and 208 aren’t vaccinated. Let’s just say we have three positive cases in each group. That equals a positivity rate of 0.16% in vaccinated players and 1.44% in unvaccinated players. Or there is an 800% increase in the positivity rate of unvaccinated players versus vaccinated players.
And what does that mean? It means the vaccine is protecting the vaccinated players. Because if you have a small number of cases in 90% of your population and the same number of cases in only 10% of your population, the minority of the population is affected at an increased rate even though the total numbers are the same.
If the vaccine wasn’t protective you would see more cases in the 90% of vaccinated players versus the 10% of unvaccinated players. Instead of the same amount you claimed.
Pretty interesting, right?
PS. I’ll make it even more simple. I got 2,000 pennies. I put 1,800 pennies in one pile and 200 pennies in another pile. I take 3 pennies away from each pile. Which pile was affected the least?
