09-13-2021, 09:58 AM
(09-12-2021, 09:51 PM)EatonFan Wrote: I would love to know the Bengals' win probability when the Vikings had the ball right before the strip of Cook. It couldn't have been any more than 1-2%. 98% chance they lose or tie at that point. I pegged it about 70% the Vikes win and about 28% that we tie.
That is mind-blowing that not only did we get the ball, but we marched the field, converted 4th and 1 and kicked the figgie as time runs out.
PFR has a fun little calculator that you can use to identify winning percentages in certain situations.
Right before the strip of Cook, The Vikings had a 67% chance to win. There is another site that calculates these as the game is live. They had the Vikings at a 53% chance to win.
Seems really low, surprisingly. I thought the game was 100% over. Sheds some light into our perspective as fans, I suppose. Lol.
