Elephant in the Room

[Au165]

(11-10-2021, 02:58 AM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: The turnover worthy play rate is interesting to look at here. Yes, Joe is leading the league in picks (obviously bad), but is 25th in TWP’s.

Joe Burrow in the Bengals first half of the season:

Passing Grade: 81.4 (11th)
Big Time Throw Rate: 5.2% (12th)
Turnover Worthy Play Rate: 3.5% (25th)
Avg Depth of Target: 8.9 (11th)
Passer Rating: 102.6 (9th)
Adjusted Completion %: 77.0% (14th)

— Andrew Russell (@PFF_AndrewR) November 9, 2021

Part of it is bad luck, when he makes turnover worthy plays they are usually turnovers...for a lot of people they get dropped. That is why a lot of these things have to be looked at in context. For instance, Mahomes has had years with high turnover worth plays but a ton of them were just dropped so his INT numbers didn't look awful.