02-11-2022, 03:49 PM
(02-11-2022, 03:17 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: They definitely don't have a 50% chance of victory, though.
I think statements like this are just incorrect. I mean no offense to you, KillerGoose, or even to the institution of predictive sports modeling. There is simply insufficient information to make this claim, and models based upon season-long body of work data that make these claims are operating from a fundamentally goofy premise in the first place. The Rams might indeed have the "better roster" and be the "better team", and that still does not imply that they have a 50%+ chance to win the game.
We need more deterministic models.
