02-17-2022, 04:16 PM
(02-17-2022, 03:57 PM)Au165 Wrote: I disagree with a couple of the assumptions...
Doing some quick math off this, I am projecting somewhere around 55 or so for the above mentioned major FA decisions. Now with that said we still need to make some decisions on re-signs but most are cheap. Some of the easier decisions will probably be moving on from Harris and Huber as you can get both those guys usually cheap as rookies. Then you are probably talking about guys like Topou, Flowers, Allen all of which have a shot to be back I think (Topou least likely in my mind).
- I disagree you "front load" the contract for Bates, and the idea of it is generally a falsehood in the NFL. In reality, you go with a substantial signing bonus and then structure the backend with heavy roster bonuses that allow Bates to get the big media number he is after for the ooows and awwws but in reality he may not make it to the back end to earn out the roster bonuses. 14.5-15 for a cap number next year is my guess.
- If you are signing C.J. you aren't signing Gronk, so this is an either or situation. People need to understand they are filling a similar role in veteran reliable TE but with limited vertical threat ability. I am projecting about 7 Million in cap to this decision.
- I agree, it may come down to either or here but I also wonder in a similarly flooded market if we don't get one back on a one year deal (potentially Larry O). I would budget about 8 for this signing on next year's cap.
- As for the ability to sign additional O linemen, I think you are budgeting around 22-25 Million for next year to sign these guys. We will see who we can get, and if we can't get two for that money look for the rest to be thrown at a CB and they go O line at 31.
To be clear Bates #'s are not front loaded on my total. I agree with your assessment on Bates contract, although his age could make it more possible he finishes the contract.
I agree on TE, saves 11M
New Oline you budget 22-25 instead of original 36, saves 11-14M
2 oline for 22-25M is doable, Armstead & Schreff are no longer options, but any combination of the 2nd tier works, might be able to slide in a Conner Williams if we get good deals on all 3, Moses, Daniels, Williams...? Solid CB may not be an option if we sign 3 oline.
Huber reportedly informed Simmons that 2022 will be his last year and Harris has publicly stated he is not retiring. Not that they have the authority, just providing info.
I am guessing with us drafting 31st we would be ok with $8M for draftees and we always seem to like to have some left over..5M? Thats 13M - doesnt leave much for the 13 unsigned. 55+13 = 68M
