03-18-2022, 09:16 PM
(03-18-2022, 08:33 PM)BFritz21 Wrote: Um.............. Not exactly:
Isn't this exactly what he is saying? If 68% of Republicans would stay and fight, then 32% of them are fleeing (100-68=32). Then we have 40% of Democrats who wouldn't flee. If these numbers are accurate over the course of entire party, the fighting strength between registered Democrats and Republicans is about 20%.
Registered Republicans - 35,732,180 * 68% = 24,297,882
Registered Democrats - 48,019,985 * 40% = 19,207,994
I think what Nately isn't accounting for is the third option that this poll apparently accounts for, which I would guess is "undecided". If 52% of Democrats would leave and 40% would fight, what are the other 8% doing? Same thing goes for the Republicans (68% fighting, 25% fleeing), what are the final 7% doing? Regardless, I don't think your post really challenges anything regarding what Nately said.