Judging Huber

[*rfaulk34*]

(04-14-2022, 10:25 AM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: He was fine last year. People remember the SB and think he had a terrible year, but again, he was middle of the pack or so.

Also, Fred, if you're going to include inside 20 punts, you should also include where they punted from (I know there isn't a stat for this): a lot harder to pin inside the 20 if you're punting from your own 10.

And I just found this article to back that up: http://insidethepylon.com/film-study/film-study-nfl/special-teams-film-study-nfl/2016/09/16/punting-statistics-can-lie/

It's why people swooning over Araiza need to look at things other than stats; more-important than net or inside 20, is the CONSISTENCY of the punts.

This involves a much-deeper dive into punters' play, that stats cannot represent.

ALL that being said however, I'm absolutely ready to move on if the team feels so: I'm not gangbusters on Chrisman, but I do feel he's our punter for the next decade.

Time will tell.

POMY

Percentage Of Maximum Yards. I was just sitting here wondering how to gauge what a punter does on his own merit. The closest thing i could think of was pomy. This is the maximum amount of yards a punter could kick the ball to down it at the 1 and how far he kicked the ball until it landed or was caught. Say the LOS is your own 40 yard line. That means you have 59 yards to kick the ball in order to down it at the 1. If you kick it and it's fair caught or caught by your teammate at the 20, that means you've kicked it 40 yards of the maximum 59 and you have a 'percentage to maximum' of 67.7 

Touchbacks are sketchy because you could kick a really nice ball and someone on SP could screw up and not down it before it goes in the EZ...but i don't think that happens enough to skewer the numbers. This is a raw percentage of what a punter does when he has (X) amount of yards to down the ball at the 1 (optimal). 

Each punt has its own percentage and the total # of punts have their percentage, plus i've added the average distance to the optimal punt (distance from the 1 yard line). 

I went through the play by play of the Bengals V Vikes game this past year and the Raiders punter V the Ravens in week one. 
The first two numbers are yards from the LOS to the 1 yard line and the actual distance of the punt, which gives you the percentage of yards to the optimal punt. Underneath each section is the total yards to optimal as well as the total yards of the actual distance and their percentage and then the average distance punted from the optimal. 

huber(bengals)- v vikes
59/40 67.7%
56/47 83.9%
45/37 82.2%
74/43 58.1%
46/42 91.3%
63/43 68.2%
85/61 71.7%
----------
428/313 73.1% --  avg distance (yds) to opt- 61.1


berry(vikings)- v bengals
60/39 65.0
75/46 61.3
97/49 50.5
73/61 83.5
60/52 86.6
58/41 70.6
75/51 68.0
72/63 87.5
----------
570/402 70.5% --  avg distance (yds) to opt- 71.3


cole(raiders)- v ravens
42/35 83.3
75/63 84.0
71/67 94.3
75/50 66.6
95/64 67.3
55/37 67.2
----------
413/316 76.5% --  avg distance (yds) to opt- 68.8


Did any of that make sense?