Games against losing teams last year

[KillerGoose]

(05-22-2022, 09:36 PM)reuben.ahmed Wrote: Nope, math isn't way wrong.

https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-strength-of-schedule-2021-hardest-easiest/y6gf4dqghy9n1cv6gwhn0rytu

Opponents' 2020-21 (the season before 2021-22)'s record: .529 (144-128).

Strength of schedule is determined before the season starts not after it's over.

For pre-season projections, yes. It makes no sense to use 2020 data to determine how difficult a schedule was in 2021. Do you think that Cincinnati was an easy opponent in 2021? I don’t, but by this method, they were.

Calculating SOS using prior season data is a way to discuss the upcoming schedule before it’s played. In reality, Cincinnati had the 29th ranked schedule by opponent win percentage. It wasn’t a tough schedule.