08-19-2022, 12:28 PM
(08-19-2022, 12:06 PM)StoneTheCrow Wrote: Eh he was like -800 live, late on election night. If you would’ve hit Biden it would’ve paid pretty decently.
Which is strange. Polling data had Biden as the clear favorite for some time before the election. Biden was being given ~80% chance of victory as early as September. Just before the election, it was over 90%.
I had no idea the markets had Trump as that big of a favorite, I would have bet on that in a heartbeat.