08-23-2022, 10:59 AM
538 did a piece several weeks ago. ( Search 538, NFL, and luck and it'll pop up.) Their statistical nerds came up with a way to judge which teams lost close games, so close that one play made the difference between a win and a loss. Given Fred's typical BS in this thread, it would seem logical to think the Bengals would be on the list of luckiest teams, right?
But you (and Fred) would be wrong. They show the Bengals as one of the LEAST (7th) lucky teams. Their model shows with just a slightly different outcome, the Bengals would have finished 13-4.
And Fred being Fred and wanting to argue all points, the list also shows negative records if just one play had gone wrong, and the Bengals were not on that list. (The Ravens were the only team on both lists.)
But you (and Fred) would be wrong. They show the Bengals as one of the LEAST (7th) lucky teams. Their model shows with just a slightly different outcome, the Bengals would have finished 13-4.
And Fred being Fred and wanting to argue all points, the list also shows negative records if just one play had gone wrong, and the Bengals were not on that list. (The Ravens were the only team on both lists.)
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
