2022 Election Results Thread

[KillerGoose]

Control of the Senate is essentially down to three races - GA. NV, and AZ. GA is likely to go to a runoff as Warnock is unlikely to reach the 50% needed to outright win. NV and AZ could be blue before then, however. With 65% of the vote in, Kelly leads Masters by five points so far. That will narrow as things go on and as the election day votes tend to lean red. Democrat candidate Cortez in Nevada is down by three points with 80% of the vote in, but the large majority of ballots remaining are in Clark County (Las Vegas), where Cortez Masto has carried the county by nearly five points so far. I am doing some quick napkin math and unless she really picks up her pace in Vegas, I am not sure I see where she can make up her deficit. By my count, there are 107k outstanding votes in Vegas and ~206k statewide. I am projecting her to lose the rest of the state 43% to 56%, or a ~12,500 vote margin. She will need to win the rest of the Vegas votes by roughly a 70/30 count in order to win the seat.

EDIT - The rest of the votes are expected to lean heavy blue, so it is possible that she could do that.