12-12-2022, 11:06 AM
(12-12-2022, 10:58 AM)WeezyBengal Wrote: Boy have we come a long way...
Our odds to make the playoffs jumped to 98% and the odds to win the division now sit at 39%. The odds at the 1 seed and a first round bye sit at 9%.
If we beat the Bucs the overall playoff odds rise to > 99% and we are now favored to win the division at 51%.
Games of note this week:
Bills vs. Dolphins
Chiefs @Texans
Ravens @Browns
Jets vs. Lions
Who I want to win is bolded. I honestly am not sure who I want to win between the Bills and Dolphins. If we win this week, I'd prob say the Dolphins, but if we lose...then the Bills. The 1 seed is still at play but it's not super likely at this point. I feel like now we want to just position ourselves to get the five seed with how dumb the NFL playoff format is.
IMO home games and seeding should be based on overall record. It kind of bothers me we will have to go play in TN (again) even though we beat them are we are most likely going to have a better record.
While I do think that winning the division should give that team HF advantage, it should NOT if division-winning team (insert Titans) loses a regular season game to a WC team they have to play with either an identical/better record (Bengals). Head-head simply has to mean something.
