New NFL consideration for Bills-Bengals game and

[CJD]

(01-04-2023, 12:57 PM)Big Boss Wrote: They were up by 4 points with three full quarters still left to play.  

I'm not so sure that margin would have greatly affected things.  Because again, literally anything could have happened on the very next play.  Burrow could've thrown a Pick 6 and suddenly the Bills were leading by 3.

It would not have a massive impact on the game's outcome, but it would have some impact. That's why the win chance was only 57%.

Also the pick 6 thing is a bad argument because, let's say it's 0 to 0. A pick 6 means the Bills lead by 7. But with a 4 point lead, the lead is only 3. So the Bengals come back and score a field goal it's now even, whereas in the 0-0 scenario they're down more than a field goal in that same scenario. That's a significant difference and has major implications for the game.