01-27-2023, 02:09 PM
(01-26-2023, 11:35 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: I guess I just don't really trust high prospects that don't have college production that line up with where you're expected to draft them. I wouldn't feel good using a 1st on a guy expecting him to be a red zone monster when he only had 3 career TDs in 27 college games. That's just me, though.
Feels extra weird when you're a team that needs an OT (or 2) to get a part-time position blocker instead of a full-time position blocker.
I could not agree more on the production thing. A physical specimen who has yet to produce is the most likely bust. We cannot be busting on picks in the first two rounds. Plus, Taylor has trended towards guys with not only production, but captains and coach's sons, and big game experience. Washington has the latter, but that is it.
I also think Hurst will be back on a fairly reasonable deal. Most of these national guys do not pay much attention to Cincy. I do not think spending our first rounder on primarily a blocking TE who is gonna be TE2 is at all smart. Drew Sample on steroids. That ain't happening. Day 2, maybe.
I think it much more likely we use the #1 to upgrade at a more critical position (OT, CB), fill a need created by FA (Pratt, Bell, Hurst, Apple, Flowers, Perine, Scharping), and take the most talented guy who might turn into a cheaper/long term replacement to help us for the upcoming cap crunch: Higgins/Boyd/J. Williams/Mixon/Reader/Hendrickson/BJ Hill).
The only way I'd do it is if:
1) We lose Hurst, AND
2) No blue chip top 20 guy falls, AND
3) No CB/DE we like is there, AND
4) We do not rate Ika/Kancey, AND
5) We do not like any if the 2nd tier WRs there (Flowers, Hyatt, Tillman, etc)
It is unlikely we get last #3 on my chart. The DE/CB classes are pretty deep.
