04-27-2023, 05:41 PM
(04-27-2023, 04:29 PM)Crazyjdawg Wrote: Short term, this would be an absolutely fantastic selection. He could end up being the key to winning the SB this year or next year.
In the long term, it may end up being a sub par pick since there's very little inherent value in a RB's second contract (and in fact can be somewhat of a trap if you decide to sign them to what you think will be a good deal at the time. See: Joe Mixon). The discount we get for 5 years with Gibbs won't be comparable to discount we'd get for 5 years at CB, DE or DT.
With that said, it's just a tiny bit less valuable than a discounted TE contract, so if we're willing to take Mayer or Kincaid, we may as well take Gibbs, who I think will have a higher impact on our team during that rookie contract. TEs often take 2 to 3 years to break out, at which point that second contract starts looming. A RB, in theory, should be an impact player from day 1 if they were worth a first round pick. They just have a shorter shelf life and you probably shouldn't entertain a big 2nd contract with them.
I get what youre saying and I completely agree with it. The salary cap and the way then NFL works these days has made me look at the team in a 4 year span. I used to think about having a guy for 10 years, now the only guy that I truly consider a 10 year player is a franchise QB.
Give me the guy that can help this team win in the big games. When we've come up short it's usually been for a couple of reasons - O line play and the inability to move the ball. I don't think there's a tackle that would be a good fit at 28 - but I would be thrilled with Steve Avila or O'Cyrus Torrance.
Gibbs would definitely help this team beat the 2 high looks. Hell, he very well could play slot if Boyd got hurt. He's that good in the passing game,
