09-25-2023, 01:57 PM
(09-25-2023, 01:40 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: Nate Silver is my go to on this topic and he actually talks about this here.
It is a good read. As an aggregate, Biden and Trump are "roughly tied" in polls. It's way too early to pay much attention to polling results, let alone individual polls. However, it is also fair for Democrats to be concerned about Biden's chances. He has issues that are running out of time to be addressed. I'll let those who are interested read the rest of the article.
TL;DR - Trump is up in some polls, yes. However, as an aggregate, they are roughly tied. It is too soon to be taking polls seriously, but Biden does face serious challenges that need to be addressed.
I read an interesting article recently (I'll try and find it) on the swing in EC votes due to population shifts away from deep blue states such as NY and CA. It related that several EC votes have moved from them to either reliably red states, such as FL, or purple red leaning states such as AZ. Essentially the shift gives a GOP candidate a much easier path to victory than before.
