Reds September Games Thread

[CJD]

(09-30-2023, 12:24 AM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote:

Here's what needs to happen for the Reds to make the playoffs:

Scenario 1:
Arizona Diamondbacks get swept in 3 games (starting tonight) in which they are playing the Houston Astros.
Reds complete the sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals.
That would put both teams at 84-78, and the Reds hold the tie breaker over the Diamondbacks.
In this scenario, it does not matter what the Cubs do because, even if they win out, we'd own the tiebreaker over them.

Scenario 2:
The Miami Marlins lose the final 2 games against the Pirates. 
Whenever the game against the Mets is scheduled, they must lose that game as well, which they were leading 2-1 heading into the bottom of the 9th.
Reds complete the sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals.

That would put the Reds at 84-78, and the Marlins at 83-79. If the Marlins win even one of those 3 remaining games, they would have 84 wins, our maximum total possible, and own the tiebreaker between us.
In this scenario, it also does not matter what the Cubs do because, even if they win out, we'd own the tiebreaker over them.


I'd say scenario #1 is more likely. The Astros are a good team who are probably going to the playoffs. They are going to be playing hard because they have the Mariners nipping at their heels for that final wildcard spot, so they have no interest in losing any more games.

The Pirates and 3 final outs against the Mets...eh, I wouldn't rely on them if I had the choice haha.