Full Off-Season and Mock 2.0

[Whatever]

(11-30-2023, 08:00 PM)Hammerstripes Wrote: Not necessarily.  If we sign a good free agent, the it will offset that pick - just like Orlando Brown will offset the loss of Bates.

It would be absolutely stupid to let Tee walk in free agency.  He's easily worth a first rounder, and makes no sense to take a 4th rounder (3rd round comps are after the end of the round, so it's basically a 4th rounder) when you could get a first or at worst pick #33 from Carolina.

The issue is that any team who would offer a trade for Higgins is going to try and fill that need in FA first.  It's a strong FA WR class like the likes of Mike Evans, Michael Pittman, Hollywood Brown, OBJ, Darnell Mooney, Calvin Ridley, Tyler Boyd, etc., etc.  

Another issue is that you don't know who else comes open on the trade market.  Diggs and the Bills appear headed for a divorce.  With Atwell going of for the Rams, it's possible Cooper Kupp hits the trade block, as well.  Throw in a draft class that has 5 WR's in the Top 20 prospects and the prospects for a big haul in exchange for Higgins becomes slimmer and slimmer.

If you can move him, it's probably going to be to a team that gets desperate during the draft and certainly not before the first wave of FA.  That $23 mil tag kills you in FA.  Using my FA as an example, if we estimate Madubuike and Williams at $10 and $8 mil 2024 cap numbers, the FT costs us both of those guys, plus Fant.  You lose definitely 2, potentially 3 starters holding out for a trade to get one pick?  And the guy you're trying to move is coming off the worst season of his career, btw.