ESPN Playoff Simulator

[Essex Johnson]

(12-12-2023, 09:46 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: I ran your scenario with Jags, Ravens, Bills and Chiefs winning their divisions. Denver 4-0, Bengals 4-0, Indy 3-1, Miami 2-2, Browns 3-1 and the Texans 2-2 (you forgot them).

It turned out like this.



If i change the Texans to 3-1 by virtue of a win against the Browns, which makes the Browns 2-2, it looks like this.



If the Texans go 4-0 it takes wins away from the Browns and Colts and the Bengals still get the 7th seed, with the Texans being the 5th seed.

I ran mine using Pro Football Network it came out with how i predicted with using a simulator based on the playoff criteria

Division Champs 1 Ravens 12-5 2 KC 11-6 3 Jags 11-6 4 Bills 11-6

5 Browns 11-6 6 Colts 11-6 7 Dolphins 11-6,

Bengals and Broncos out at 11-6.

Here is where the Bengals get hurt, not sure if division placement matters but they are 3rd in their division, all other WC are 2nd in their division. The big criteria that gets them is conference record, since head to head is going to be thrown out since no team has defeated all the other 4 teams at 11-6, then then it goes to conference record, the best Bengals can do is 6-6,every team including Denver will have 7 or more conference wins so Bengals would finish 9th.

Now honest opinion , no way do i see that many teams at 11-6 but we been saying midway through season if Bengals tie with multiple teams for WC most likely with their bad division record they will lose out and even if they go 4-0 that plays out. My belief if they go 11-6 they will be in, I don;t see Bills and Denver winning 11 so we would get in.