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Biden emboldened Iran to make billions and now.
#16
(04-19-2024, 03:19 PM)JustWinBaby Wrote: They didn't try - the deal remained in place.

Iran did, and continues to do, what they always have - which is use the threat of nuclear development to extract concessions.  That Iran would one day have nuclear capability has long been recognized - the deal Trump pulled out of was designed only to delay that beyond 2025.

Biden had an opportunity to re-enter the deal, but decided the concessions Iran was demanding were too high.

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2019/5/8/understanding-the-iran-deal-what-why-and-the-next-steps
"Rouhani said the remaining signatories – the United Kingdom, France, Germany, China and Russia – had 60 days to implement their promises to protect Iran’s oil and banking sectors from US sanctions."

"Prior to the agreement, Iran was believed to be only two or three months away from being capable of making a nuclear bomb. But after the accord, it would have taken a year to make the weapon."

So the US pulled out of the deal, Iran violated its deal with the other signatories, and they are basically the same place they were in 2015 before the deal was signed.  Big nothingburger.

No. Enrichment was capped at 3.67% for 15 years. That would go past 2030. (See Nuclear.A.5 https://medium.com/p/5cdd9b320fd)
Also, no plutonium enrichment. You frame Iran's partial pullout--because of Trump--from a deal it had been keeping as some kind of shakedown. 
In fact, US threatened our own allies with withdrawal of US business if they did not restore sanctions.  

And no, not basically the same place.  Breakout time was 6-8 weeks in 2015. Over a year under the deal. Now down to zero.

Russia and Iran were working with the US and EU to contain Iran. Now they are not and have tremendous incentive to help Iran. While US Trumpers
are squealing about 6 billion Biden gave Iran and it still can't use, China is investing 400 billion in Iran in return for oil 
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/27/world/middleeast/china-iran-deal.html.  Russia sees advantage as well.
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/iransource/iran-wont-break-with-russia-over-ukraine-heres-why/

Another goal was to empower the "moderates" and the Iranian middle class who wanted the deal and said "Trust Obama." 
Now they are embarrassed and without credibility before the hardliners, who warned their people about trusting the Great Satan. 

US credibility was at a historic high having pulled together so many antagonistic partners into a common purpose.
Now it is difficult to trust the US in long term security matters. Exploding liberal heads explodes US credibility, though that may
not matter to people who don't see why that credibility is useful, or seem to think Trump's "strength" is an adequate substitute.

And the point of rehearsing this at a moment when we are again in danger of falling into war with Iran is to remind people
that Trump's ME policy was a disaster, including his Abraham Accords. This in the face of the Fox machine which retroactively constructs a "peaceful"
ME under Trump, which is only now falling apart under Biden. 
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RE: Biden emboldened Iran to make billions and now. - Dill - 04-19-2024, 09:51 PM

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