Bengals and Dalvin Cook

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(06-01-2024, 07:36 PM)Joelist Wrote: Moss also does not have the wear and tear Cook does. He becomes 28 in 2025. 

That matters, but honestly less than you would think with RBs.

https://www.espn.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/123542/inside-slant-running-back-cliff-after-age-27

That's from 2014, but the threshold to be included there was only an average of 75 carries per season... I know there's also talk about an 1800 carry mark where a lot of RBs also drop off, but I think that's an either-or thing where either 1800 carries or 28. You don't want a RB with over 1800 career carries, and you don't want a RB 28+. There's obviously outliers of guys who handle more carries or more years, as there will always be, but they're still not odds you want to take and they get even worse at 29.

Just look at a couple guys who had their age 28 season in 2023...
Austin Ekeler: 3.5ypc
Dalvin Cook: 3.2ypc
Jamaaal Williams: 2.9ypc
Ezekiel Elliott: 3.5ypc
Alvin Kamara: 3.9ypc
Kareem Hunt: 3.0ypc

And multiple of those guys weren't high-wear-and-tear guys. On the bright side Henry will continue declining while on the Ravens and hopefully Chubb for the Browns will be too.

Draft a RB, use them up in 4-5 years, replace them. Second contracts for RBs just really seem like a terrible bet. Unless they are Barry Sanders (or maybe a 1,000 yard receiver) just don't give second contracts and replace them frequently. Let other teams sink their cap space on bad deals.

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Not an issue with Moss yet hopefully. Just need to remember that however he does in 2024, we can't get too emotional and need to remember that we still need to look for a RB early in the 2025 draft.