5/30 ruling against Trump

[Belsnickel]

(06-02-2024, 05:47 PM)FormerlyBengalRugby Wrote: My apologies for getting back to this so late.

Your poll numbers seem to indicate in the manner of what I said of little to no difference in voting for DJT, with 17% of voters less likely to vote for him in the case of a conviction and 15% being more likely.

I appreciate the nothing-burger and your sources.

You have to look at both sides of the data, not just the side you want to see.

As Joe Dirt would say, that's day one stuff.

You see, the difference here lies in the breakdowns, not the toplines. When you start digging into the statistics based on things like 2020 recall votes and other demographics, it tells you more than just looking at the registered voters. You can't just rely on the most basic statistics to guide your conclusions. There are also some basic assumptions used in interpreting these sorts of polls that require a little more depth of understanding.

But that is like day three or four stuff when dealing with applied statistics in the social sciences.