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Brokered Convention?
#1
Current delegate count from Politico

Trump: 285
Cruz: 161
Rubio: 87
Kasich: 25
Carson: 8
Bush: 4
Fiorina: 1
Huckabee: 1
Paul: 1

573 delegates have gone out and 1899 remain, or 70%. Trump needs exactly half of them to lock up the 1237 minimum.

Prior to last night, Trump has gained 62% of all available delegates. Last night, he took only 46% of delegates. There are still delegates from many of these states left to be rewarded at conventions and you can still have supporters of other candidates win spots at the state conventions to be delegates.

Delegates are only bound on the first vote. If Trump does not have 1237 on that first convention vote, it becomes a free for all.

Assuming trends continue, Trump may only have say 1185-1200 delegates by the convention. At this point, it becomes a brokered convention with back room dealings and these state convention politics coming into play. Do they flock to Cruz or Rubio? Do they find a dark horse candidate (8th place Warren G Harding in 1920)?

There is absolutely no reason for Rubio and Cruz to drop out right now.
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Messages In This Thread
Brokered Convention? - BmorePat87 - 03-02-2016, 11:42 AM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Benton - 03-02-2016, 12:17 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - fredtoast - 03-02-2016, 01:17 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - fredtoast - 03-02-2016, 01:36 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Rotobeast - 03-02-2016, 01:55 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - fredtoast - 03-02-2016, 02:05 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - 6andcounting - 03-02-2016, 11:23 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Benton - 03-02-2016, 02:10 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Belsnickel - 03-02-2016, 01:08 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - BmorePat87 - 03-02-2016, 01:26 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - fredtoast - 03-02-2016, 01:09 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Belsnickel - 03-02-2016, 01:47 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - BengalHawk62 - 03-02-2016, 01:56 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Vas Deferens - 03-02-2016, 02:00 PM
RE: Brokered Convention? - Belsnickel - 03-02-2016, 05:31 PM

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