05-01-2016, 04:27 AM
(05-01-2016, 03:16 AM)Bilbo Saggins Wrote: UDFAs have a surprisingly high rate of "sticking" in the nfl. I forget the formula, but I remember a good case being made for how UDFAs have the best shot at becoming long term starters outside of 1st rounders.
I was talking about on this team. We had some UDFAs close last year. But I don't think any made the opening day roster. There will probably be more UDFAs than draft picks this year league wide, idk what the breakdown is but it sure seems like a good chance there are more undrafted guys than drafted. I haven't broken it down yet. Maybe with Thompson a PUP candidate, Mays and Burfict suspended one has a slim chance. But I thought we were pushing it trying to get 7 draft picks onto the 53 man roster.
That has to be a special formula. I could see something like the UDFA/s that make the 53 man roster at the beginning of the year for every team have a higher success rate than the guys drafted in round 2-7. 2 free agents making the roster for every team would be 64 guys which is probably a high estimate. compared to 2-7 round draft picks for 32 teams which would be 192 plus the 32 comp picks is 224. 6 of the UDFAs become long term starters and they can say 9% of UDFAs became long term starters. Then they can say 6 of the 2-7 round draft picks become long term starters and that is only 2.6%.
