06-30-2015, 01:50 PM
(06-30-2015, 10:09 AM)Goalpost Wrote: Joe Morgan often said a great base stealer should steal at 80 percent or better.
Getting caught stealing is bad. It is like wiping out a hit or BB, and it is hard to get on base in the first place. And advancing one base does not improve your chances of scoring by 100%. So the benefit of advancing one base does not outweigh the chance of removing a base runner and adding an out.
I saw a mathematical formula that showed that if you don't steal at better than something like a 75% success rate you are actually hurting the team.
