Post senior bowl mock

[*ochocincos*]

(01-29-2018, 08:50 PM)Jpoore Wrote: Yeah I mean it's a little over paying on buffalos side but not major over paying. And with Arizona needs at qb along with dolphins and possibly Washington little bit of over paying to get ahead and get the qb u want isn't horrible. I mean look at Texans browns trade from last year went from 25 to 12. Gave up pick 25 and what end up as the number 4 pick this year.

But you didn't mention a critical point of the Texans-Browns trade...
A first-round pick in the next year is about the equivalent of a second-round pick of this year because 1) the team receiving the future pick has to wait another year to use it instead of being able to use it in the current draft, and 2) there is a gamble of what slot that pick will be. That uncertainty and delay is why it's considered about the same value as the next round of the current year.

And the point differential between HOU and CLE was about the equivalent of 150 points or less.
You are proposing a point differential of 264 points. That's still "way overpaying" in my book.
Now if you changed it to 21 OR 22 and a 2019 first rounder, that would seem more realistic to me.