02-01-2018, 12:53 PM
(02-01-2018, 12:49 PM)michaelsean Wrote: Can't they do a state by state poll?
They can, and often individual state polls are done. But, the modeling for the presidential election polling hasn't been set up to really focus on that. With this being only the, what, third time a POTUS won the election but lost the popular vote it just hasn't been a scenario that they have designed their modeling for, plus it would require much more collaboration between polling firms (not likely) to share data and make it all work out.
We'll continue to see the focus on popular results rather than electoral, but there has been discussion in the community about how we can account for these things, with no real solutions. I've actually read academic journal articles on this because, well, I'm a nerd.
"A great democracy has got to be progressive, or it will soon cease to be either great or a democracy..." - TR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
