The Iran deal

[*bfine32*]

(05-08-2018, 11:47 PM)Bengalzona Wrote: One nation dropping out gives the Iranians an excuse to restart the development. It puts them back in the driver's seat. Plus, they now have confidence knowing we are not consistent in our approach in any future negotiations (i.e. if negotiations aren't going the way they want, they just wait for a new administration). Now, this may sound like something they could do anyway. But past admins have been consistent in their approach, so it wouldn't be effective for them to wait. It is now, however. Plus, the Iranians can now claim that we don't hold our word or follow through on agreements, which is a big club to swing in diplomacy. They can negotiate better terms for themselves.

Also, if the other parties do not re-start sanctions with us, they undermine the effectiveness of our sanctions. Not only do the Iranians have a reason to restart development, they would be able to subvert our sanctions just by ordering the same stuff from the Germans or French or British. Also, they can re-negotiate the terms with each other country individually and get better terms for themselves.

This is one negotiation where you really didn't want to "go it alone".

Too funny that folks think this puts Iran "back in the driver's seat". They start development again then the rest of the world imposes sanctions. They don't and the rest of the world does not. Then Iran gets their corn from Germany.