11-13-2018, 12:33 PM
(11-12-2018, 08:35 PM)Whatever Wrote: It would honestly depend on who was available at those times. This upcoming year, Harbaugh is out in Baltimore, McCarthy may be gone in Green Bay, and Pete Carroll may be out in Seattle. If you need a QB and there's 3 former SB winners available in FA, are you signing one of those guys or drafting one?
Furthermore, look at your Super Bowl winning head coaches in the 2000's...
2000-Dick Vermeil/Rams(formally the HC of the Eagles, lost in the SB in 1980)
2001-Brian Billick/Ravens(No prior HC experience)
2002-Bill Belichek/Patriots(1-1 playoff record as HC of the Browns)
2003-Jon Gruden/Buccaneers(former Raiders HC, lost in 2000 AFCCG)
2004-Bill Belichek/Patriots
2005-Bill Belichek/Patriots
2006-Bill Cowher/Steelers(No prior HC experience)
2007-Tony Dungy/Colts(Former TB HC, lost in 1999 NFCCG)
2008-Tom Coughlin/Giants(former Jags HC, lost in 1996+1999 AFCCG)
2009-Mike Tomlin/Steelers(No prior HC experience)
2010-Sean Payton/Saints(No prior HC experience)
2011-Mike McCarthy/Packers(No prior HC experience)
2012-Tom Coughlin/Giants
2013-John Harbaugh/Ravens(No prior HC experience)
2014-Pete Carroll/Seahawks(Former HC of the Jets and Patriots, 1-2 playoff record in NE)
2015-Bill Belichek/Patriots
2016-Gary Kubiak/Broncos(Former Texans HC, 2-2 playoff record)
2017-Bill Belichek/Patriots
2018-Doug Pedersen/Eagles(No prior HC experience)
Head Coaches that have at least one playoff win with a previous club have won 12 of the last 19 Super Bowls. Statistically speaking, you have better odds with a proven winner than trying to find the next big thing.
13 coaches have won the last 19 Super Bowls. 7 of them had previous head coaching experience. Seems to be about half and half to me.
