AJ Green Value Per Spotrac

[Whatever]

(12-22-2019, 10:03 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: And that risk isn't elevated if he signs a contract that pays him something along the lines of....  
Base Salary of $4m
$250k per game active
$500k more per game if he starts.
$1m for Pro Bowl
$1m for All-Pro

He plays 0 games, he gets $4m. Makes 16 starts, gets $16m. If he's Pro Bowl and All-Pro, $18m.

He's been hurt for quite awhile now (but lets be honest, we all know he would have been playing this year if the Bengals weren't awful and he was in FA year), but he still has #1 WR potential. A team will pay him based on that, but hedge their potential losses with incentives like I listed. If he never gets healthy, a contract with all those incentives means no real dead money to speak of to get out of it.

(Also keep in mind the Bengals have had the worst OC in the league the last 4 years.)


Larry Fitzgerald specifically wants to stay in Arizona. So his market for FA is exactly 1 team out of 32. 
AJ is going to a market where presumably all 32 teams are on the table.

Incentive based contracts don't really help the team because you have to account for them against the cap as if they are going to hit all of them regardless of how much they actually get paid.  

As another example, Dez Bryant got less than $2 mil when he signed with the Saints.