How likely to see NFL

[oncemoreuntothejimbreech]

(07-21-2020, 12:36 PM)bengals1969 Wrote: Actually not at all. Here is Texas and other states such as Florida the bug was receding nicely all during May and early June  despite the states opening up on May 1.  Then the Floyd protests hit south Texas real strong at the end of May and early June, with 10's of thousands attending his funeral.  Three weeks later the case load started growing mainly in south Texas but soon spreading north.  Cause and effect?
You decide.  Yet despite this second wave, whatever its origins, the death rate for Texas and Florida is 1/10 that of New York with almost the same overall case load.  I call that learning to manage and better understanding the bug's risks.   After 4 months of dealing with the bug, I think the numbers show progress is being made, certainly in keeping the bug from being a killer.  The NFL will have far tighter daily protocols than society at large and can tightly control numbers of players and how they congregate.  They can practice far more pervasive sanitation than the general public. 

Just a cursory check of the data indicates neither Texas or Florida met the federal recommendations of 14 days of decreasing cases.  Texas had a record number of new cases (at that time) of 1,855 on May 28th which is too early for that spike to be related to the Floyd protests on May 29th, June 2nd, or June 8th in Houston.  Clearly the cases were already on the rise and definitely not "receding nicely" due to Governor Abbott ignoring federal recommendations and re-opening.  The protests exacerbated an already ongoing problem.

As of Saturday, Houston had a record number of people in the ICU for Covid 19.  Harris County health district saw an 11% increase in ICU occupancy.  Texas Medical Center had surpassed 100% ICU capacity.  Texas set a record for hospitalizations and deaths and it was the worst week for deaths since the pandemic began. 

NYC has the population of Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, Fort Worth, El Paso, and Arlington combined.  There is a big difference in population density.  Plus they were hit at the beginning of the pandemic compared to months later. It's an apples to oranges comparison.