GOP Debate Tonight

[BmorePat87]

(10-31-2015, 11:48 PM)West Union KennyG Wrote: I agree Rubio had a good performance.  I like Rubio.
But Trump isn't slumping, and is dominating polling and even the debate polling.
Most will vote for Trump regardless of what the guy says or does, largely because they know he's not bought by the donor class.  A majority of Republican voters feel the small group they can trust to not get to Washington and vote with democrats consists of Trump, Carson, and Cruz.  And the Republican nominee will be one of those three.

A 14 point lead in September to a 4 point lead (in some polls, losing) in October suggests a slump. Kasich criticism against Trump and Carson was legitimate and I think people will begin to take notice of this. They're in over their heads and they look ridiculous sometimes in their policy suggestions. The straight man always wins the GOP nomination, and of the straight men left in the bunch, Rubio is the best one. He has experience, he's latino, he's in his 40's, and he's conservative enough but can appeal to independents. He destroys Hillary in a general election. The only people to beat someone over 10 years younger than them (and he's nearly 25 years younger than her) since the Great Depression were FDR and Reagan, the two contemporary darlings of their respective parties.

Cruz will offer some primary challenge, but Carson and Trump are going to be afterthoughts by March. Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich were polling in the 20's the October before Iowa while Santorum was polling 1%.