Things Zac Taylor knew

[CJD]

(11-23-2020, 11:47 AM)wildcatnku24 Wrote: This bothers me in many aspects of life, as people commonly misunderstand how statistics and probability works.  You do realize that, using your .0001% figure, for every one of those 400 plays, the percentage chance would still be that .0001% right?  If you were to coach with that mentality, you're playing to not lose, which I believe is one of those lies we like to say Zac's doing.  But of course, it must fit our agenda right?

I think you're are misinterpreting what I'm saying to be a gambler's fallacy. I'm not saying that each pass attempt is more likely to cause an injury because the previous passing attempts did not. I'm simply saying probability chances are additive. So if you have a 1 in 6 chance of rolling a 1 on a 6 sided die, rolling it a second time doesn't have a higher than 1/6 chance just because the first roll was not 1. But if you keep rolling the dice, the odds that you'll roll a 1 go up as the number of rolls increase.