05-13-2017, 11:22 AM
(05-12-2017, 03:23 PM)eoxyod Wrote: 2. How many times do the top 3 players of any draft work out compared to how often they don't? You yourself preach how much a crapshoot the draft is often. I might be being negative but I would say history is on my side.
Nothing like an argument over vague semantics.
The odds are that our top 3 picks will not all pan out, but not so rare that it takes "insane luck" for it to happen.
In '06 our top 4 picks were Joseph, Whitworth, Rucker, Peko.
In '09 our top 3 were Smith, Maualuga, MJ
In '10 our top 3 were Gresham, Dunlap, Shipley. (plus Geno in the 4th). Shipley's career was ended by injury, but he was an impact player as a rookie with 52 receptions so you can't really blame that on any poor draft selection.
So that is 3 times in the last 10 years. Rare, but not "insanely" rare.
