09-07-2017, 09:25 AM
(09-07-2017, 09:08 AM)Luvnit2 Wrote: Draft picks after round 4 in my opinion are a huge crap shoot. the % who end up as starters is extremely low. So I like the idea of 11 picks versus 7 picks. It allows us to see more guys in camp and then make a decision. If 5 of 7 guys make a team, the draft % success is 71.4%. If 8 guys make the team out of 11, the draft success is a little higher at 73% and you get 8 players versus 5 in this scenario.
But...if the hit rate is that low on guys after Round 4...and I agree with you that it's low...would it hurt to lose a guy who was pretty good to free agency and sign a replacement in free agency foregoing the compensatory pick?
Someone posted the compensatory picks we've gotten under Lewis. I don't believe that a single one was ever a starter.
So we're losing starters and not replacing them in free agency basically to get a special teamer.