Are The Steelers Good or Just Lucky?

[*Go Cards*]

(02-15-2018, 09:19 PM)JS-Steelerfan Wrote: Why do you assume that?  Carson having the ball deep in Pittsburgh territory was by no means an automatic touchdown.  In the first game between the two, the Bengals got into the red zone in their first two possessions and came away with a grand total of 3 points.  They also kicked a field goal from the 21. If you don't believe me look it up.  In the second game, the Bengals kicked a field goal from the Pittsburgh 12.  

If you're keeping score, that's no less than  four instances in that year alone year where Palmer got to the 21 or deeper against the Steelers and failed to score a TD. His pass in the playoffs got to the 22.  Was a touchdown probable at that point?  Sure.  But past precedent demonstrates that it was hardly a sure thing, as you suggest.  

You keep talking about 'logic', but you continue to demonstrate that, as far as you're concerned, what you want to be the case trumps any rational thought.  

Carson scored 5 times that season while penetrating that deeply as well. By the stats you have provided. 

So it is fair to say that he had a better chance to score than not to score TD against steelers after driving that deep. 

But it was not a lock, nor was it improbable.