Lets discuss stats at positions that equate playoffs.I

[PAjwPhilly]

(05-20-2019, 12:51 PM)ochocincos Wrote: In this instance, you can. Find the commonality in your statement of "Mixon will have to achieve 1200 yards and up. 10 TDs and up," and what I stated that the Patriots do. It's about total team production.

Look at the total rushing and total offense for playoff teams:
BAL - 2441 ruYd, 5999 total yards
NE - 2037 ruYd, 6295 total yards
IND - 1718 ruYd, 6179 total yards
HOU - 2021 ruYd, 5802 total yards
KC - 1855 ruYd, 6810 total yards
LAC - 1873 ruYd, 5962 total yards

DAL - 1963 ruYd, 5501 total yards
PHI - 1570 ruYd, 5845 total yards
LAR - 2231 ruYd, 6738 total yards
SEA - 2560 ruYd, 5653 total yards
CHI - 1938 ruYd, 5502 total yards
NO - 2025 ruYd, 6067 total yards

All playoff teams had 1500+ rushing yards and 5500+ total yards.
So actually my prediction of 6000+ yards was actually too high overall, but probably necessary if you still want to make the playoffs with a bad defense.

The TEAM production is a far better indicator than individual because some teams are structured differently. However, all the playoff teams had certain team production metrics that they hit.

I think this is the biggest indicator. 

Last season we totaled 4972 yards. If you look at the top 10 offenses last season... those team's averaged 370 yards per game (Bengals 310). Looking at these teams again we see that the pass-yards to run-yards was 2.44. That was 2.44 yards passed for every 1 rush yard (Bengals 1.96).  What I am getting from this is our passing was sub par. And I think we all agree that we had some OL issues which gave AD very little time in the pocket over all.

When we look at AJ and Boyd, they pulled down 1722 yards total.  AJ was injured at the end and so was AD. However I don't think both recievers getting 1,000 yards is beyond reasonable. I know AJ is getting older and he doesn't always fight for yards anymore. But he is still a solid #1. The bigger issue is who is the #3? Eifert > Ross?  We have big issues after the AJ/ Boyd combo.  Having a #3 would make this analysis a lot easier.  I really want to see a big season from Ross, Eifert, and Sample. Maybe Tate if he can make the field.

As for our rushing game... Mixon. I really like Gio. But it seems that our play callers have never put Gio forward. I usually see him on 3rd and long on a predictable screen. No feces, we all see it coming. Or you see Gio get a run up the middle or pass block. I think we need to see Gio be used more offensively/ aggressively. Play more to his strengths rather than use him as simply a #2 back.

As for Red Zone %... TEs. Eifert kills in the endzone. Let's all hope Sample can too.

And if defense wins championships we need more turnovers. The top 10 teams averaged 28.5 (Bengals 18). The lowest +/- was +7 (Bengals +1). The biggest area you notice is our fumble recoveries where the top end of the NFL gets double digits while we ranked 25th with 6.


Now we got some new linebackers, kept our starting CBs and added Webb... and our DL is healthy again. Let's all hope with more pressure, a more present LB corps... we can force more 3rd downs or force some bad plays. Our secondary didn't seem to be an issue last season.