AJ Green - Probably his last season as a Bengal

[*psychdoctor*]

(08-05-2019, 08:14 PM)TopSix Wrote: Well that isn’t a good sign

Mike brown isn’t a competent football decision maker

I tend to agree, but I hope there is input by others including coaching staff so that there is a reasonable decision regarding Green's future as a Bengal.  I believe this will be Green's 9th season.  So a 3-4 year extension would appear reasonable given the nature of WR decline with the exception of Jerry Rice who was also a freak athlete.  

Here are some compelling stats regarding a players decline in the NFL...

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1683775-when-does-age-catch-up-to-nfl-players

Here is an interesting quote:

"From year two to year 10, the typical production of starting receivers basically doesn't change. There's an upward trend in the peak AVs, but that's it.

Year 10 begins a steep, steady decline in peak AV and a rise in average AV. This is the same effect we've seen before: Mediocre starters are stop playing, and the remaining elites are showing their age.
From Year 14 on, the small sample size starts making things squirrely. Also, there's the Jerry Rice Effect to contend with: He was so very good for so very long, the last three data points are all him.
If we go by age, the effect is even more pronounced:


Again, a big jump from year one to year two, then shockingly similar production until top AV peaks at 32 and begins a steep decline. Average AVs get a big bump as the decent starters fall off, but then they decline as well. After age 38, it's all Jerry Rice."