Jordan love senior bowl

[*ochocincos*]

(02-04-2020, 10:56 AM)Au165 Wrote: His floor is to wash out after his rookie deal because he never proves he can read a complex defense. He is about as risky of a pick as you can make in the 1st round as it stands and nothing from the senior bowl or his tape of the season makes you feel "safe". He is a project QB with some upside and a ton of risk. The fact he compared his floor to Cousins is comical because what makes Cousins so safe is his willingness to check down and avoid turnovers, that is about the opposite of Love.

I agree with you.

Josh Allen was the same way though coming out of Wyoming. There was nothing making him a safe pick.

In fact, when you look at their stats of their two final years in college, you'll see some similarities:

Allen:
2016 (14 games) - 3203 yards, 56% completion, 28 TDs, 15 INTs. 144.9 rating. 523 yards rushing for 7 more TDs. 1 reception for 4 yards, TD.
2017 (11 games) - 1802 yards, 56.3% completion, 16 TDs, 6 INTs. 127.8 rating. 204 rushing yards for 5 more TDs. 1 reception for 2 yards.

Love:
2018 - (13 games) - 3567 yards, 64% completion, 32 TDs, 6 INTs. 158.3 rating. 63 yards rushing for 7 more TDs.
2019 - (13 games) - 3402 yards, 61.9% completion, 20 TDs, 17 INTs. 129.1 rating. 175 yards rushing.

It's not 100% identical (Love is a better passer whereas Allen a better runner), but both played in the MWC (non-Power 5) and declined in their final year in college compared to the previous year. Both did have a near-identical QB rating their final year.

And for further comparison sake, let's look at another somewhat recent QB from the MWC, Derek Carr (2nd round pick).
2012 - 4104 yards, 67.3 % completion, 37 TDs, 7 INTs. 155.9 rating. 
2013 - 5083 yards, 68.9% completion, 50 TDs, 8 INTs. 156.3 rating.

No one should say that a good QB can't succeed in the MWC due to lack of talent. Carr clearly was able to.

If I was choosing between Carr, Allen, and Love, I'd pick Carr. Carr didn't have as high of a ceiling as the other two, but he had a higher floor.