Lets be realistic About this upcoming season

[Ryuko]

(05-23-2015, 05:36 PM)Baby Hawk Wrote: Predicting the future based solely on the past is like driving with your eyes glued to the rear view mirror.  

I read something like that a long time ago.  I believe it was in "A random walk down wall street."

Remind me again what every investment firm does?

Oh, yeah. They analyze trends and try to guess future performance based on past results. Ironic that a book on investing would provide a quote telling you to ignore statistics, trend analysis, and experience.



How many years in a row do we have to get zapped before we recognize the pattern?
Much like gravity, there is a point where repeating it stops being an experiment and becomes scientific law.



/rant

I imagine we'd all be a lot happier if we realize the season is a lot like a water slide. Exciting at times, chafing at others, and more likely to end in a splash of chlorine and urine than Gatorade.