11-08-2022, 11:26 AM
I think it will be a good night for the GOP. If you would have asked me two months ago, I would have said a split congress without hesitation. The abortion decision was fresh on people's minds and many were upset. Since then, it has been dropping down the list of important topics. Inflation has remained high and whether it is reality or not, voters view Republicans as more financially responsible than Democrats. I don't really see a path forward for the Dems in the House, but they do have a chance in the Senate, at least. The final 538 model gave them a 41% chance of keeping the Senate. This is a fairly high chance, because the party in power usually does quite poor in midterms. Of course, tonight may not be any different. I don't expect the Dems to keep the Senate, personally.
