09-07-2023, 12:48 PM
(09-07-2023, 12:15 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I think the RB market comes down to supply and demand.
Out of the top 30 players in yards from scrimmage, 18 are RBs.
And there's typically just 1 RB on the field at a given time. Compare that to 2-3 WRs on the field.
24 RBs totaled 1000+ yards from scrimmage.
With so many RBs being able to get that much production, why do you need to pay premium money for one when you can just draft a guy and still get ~1000 yards or more?
Yes, there will be those guys that are getting 1500+ yards from scrimmage, and those guys will get the premium money, but why give someone like Mixon so much $$ when you can have Fournette or Sanders at $7 mill or less APY and they are just about as productive?
What you said plus I believe AGE.
Around the age of 27 and 28 running backs tend to start losing their Burst and may become more likely to start getting nagging injuries.
Ezekiel Elliott (who turned 28 in July) appears to be a good example when it comes to losing some Burst.
Teams can Draft young, fresh rookies that still have that youthful Burst plus have less wear and tear on their bodies.
The same Teams can then still get an older, experienced veteran that may be age 27 or older and may be starting to decline at a reasonable cost to use while they get the younger backs on their Roster some experience.
*There are always outliers (like Barry Sanders that stayed healthy & played very well at age 27, 28, 29 & 30.
Teams could take advantage of this trend if they could hit on an outlier that gets undervalued by the League but can still be highly productive
into his early 30's .
