08-28-2023, 06:00 PM
Interesting read very much related to this thread....
https://www.royalsreview.com/2011/2/14/1992424/success-and-failure-rates-of-top-mlb-prospects
TLDR: 69.2% of all Top 100 Prospects from 1990-2003 failed to average at least 1.5 WAR per year (roughly the threshold of a bad starter or great bench player) over their cost controlled years.
https://www.royalsreview.com/2011/2/14/1992424/success-and-failure-rates-of-top-mlb-prospects
TLDR: 69.2% of all Top 100 Prospects from 1990-2003 failed to average at least 1.5 WAR per year (roughly the threshold of a bad starter or great bench player) over their cost controlled years.
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