We need a new punter

[sandwedge]

(12-13-2023, 03:28 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: EPA stands for expected points added. It's just a game-state calculation based on time remaining and field position. If you're calculating it for offensive players, you include the down and distance, too. An example would be if the Bengals had 1st and 10 from their own 40, they may have an expected points of one point. This is based on historical data giving ratios of scoring with that specific game state. Now, let's say Joe Mixon rips off a 60 yard touchdown, scoring six points. The Bengals were expected to score one point, Joe scored six, so Joe's expected points added (EPA) is five points for that play. If the Bengals had first and goal, their expected points may be 5.9. Once Joe scores, he has scored six points and added 0.1 expected points. It's a valuable metric for figuring out the value added by the individual players or which teams are consistently producing the most value.

Once you have the total, you can then turn it into an efficiency metric by dividing it by the amount of attempts a player has. So, the chart is saying that, on average, Robbins' punts are costing Cincinnati -.2 points. Put differently, Robbins' punts and their subsequent returns are putting Cincinnati at a very slight disadvantage. 

Ok, thank you for explaining it.