AD better deep ball than u think

[wolverine515151]

Another method to fix the qb ratings would be to build a probability table for the td based on the chances of scoring from where the ball is spotted.

In the example I used the first throw produces a td every time and therefore gets a 1 for probability. I looked it up and the second throw produces td's 90% of the time from the one yard line.The other 10% a fg would be scored. That works out to 6.7 points on average first and goal from the 1.

Using this the qb rating on that deep throw to the one yard line should be 6.7/7 x 158 or 152

Now that is a believable rating. A small difference but not a huge monstrous difference like 40 points that does't show the effectiveness of the throw to produce points.

http://phdfootball.blogspot.ca/2013/06/field-position-and-scoring.html