01-15-2020, 09:36 AM
(01-15-2020, 08:24 AM)Essex Johnson Wrote: It's called hype.. burrows is being hyped way higher than Palmer and for the value of the the pick as a #1 QB we lose out if he turns out like Palmer, we did better under 2md round Dalton than 1st pick Palmer ..
Not really, it's all relative. Carson Palmer was touted as the best QB in that draft and he had the tools to be really good. In the end he was the best QB career wise from that draft and didn't capitalize on those tools. In hindsight his accuracy wasn't great in college and it continued to not be great in the pro's especially under pressure. We needed a QB badly that year and we got the best one, it just turns out that class in hindsight wasn't very good. This year Joe Burrow is arguably the best prospect in a class that in the present appears to be a pretty good class. In terms of "Hype" it comes down to the fact he has put together arguably the greatest college football season of any QB ever. That isn't "Hype" that is statistically factual and even more apparent when looking at advanced metrics.
Saying we did better with a 2nd rounder is disingenuous, we actually did the same in the one thing we all care about, we had 0 playoff wins with both. Also the idea that because we did fine with a 2nd rounder last time so that somehow means we should do the same thing again is fooling yourself. It would be like the Patriots saying "Hey, we got Brady in the 6th we can just get another one in the 6th". History shows us that the success rate of QB's drafted in general isn't great but once you get past the 1st round that success rate falls pretty substantially. Dalton actually had one of the top 5/6 best careers in the last 15 years for of a QB drafted after the 1st round. He is an outlier, not a rule you want to try replicating.
