Take the freaking points

[WeezyBengal]

(10-10-2022, 10:34 AM)C0de_M0nkey Wrote: Football is one of the most complicated team sports in history. There are way too many variables to account for. You can’t say that kicking the field goal has a 41% chance of winning because no past team with the exact personnel, coaching staff, opponent, etc has kicked that field goal with the same score with the same weather, the same crowd noise, and the same stadium. There are way too many outside factors to calculate this number. Do you honestly believe that those numbers are accurate and we just got unlucky?

Maybe the average team had those probabilities with that score, but there’s way more to the decision than that. We’re not the average team over the past 50 or so years, and there are outside factors that the analytics cannot account for. You’re a fool if you delegate coaching decisions to analytics.

The outside variables don't matter. It's based on probability of winning the game based on situational decisions. 

You are telling me that you wouldn't go with the option that gave you a higher probability of winning the game? That's just absurd to me.